Fade Radar · the inverse of smart money
The wallets that are never right
The Smart Money Radar asks who reputable is buying a coin. This asks the sharper question: how much of the buy side has never once been right. A reverse indicator here is a wallet the graph has watched buy at least five coins whose outcome is now known, with zero winners among them. They are not rare, and when they crowd a fresh launch that launch almost never goes anywhere. Nothing on this page is a short: on a bonding curve the only tradeable form of a fade is not buying.
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What this is and is not
- A wallet's record counts only coins whose outcome is already known. A winner is a coin that graduated to an AMM or peaked at 3x or better.
- The odds above are measured out of sample: the cohort is rebuilt from coins labelled in the earlier half of the history, then graded on coins it could not have seen.
- A coin is scored only once at least five of its buyers have been observed. Below that the board says so rather than guessing.
- This is a probabilistic read on a hostile market, never a prediction, and never advice. A clear coin can still go to zero.
- The only coin three.ws promotes is $THREE. Every coin on this board is whatever the live feed handed us.